Is The Way We Look At “Overbought” And “Oversold” Right?

By topstock at 2008-11-19T00:34:06Z in Uncategorized, with these tags: investing, markets, stock, terms, trading, 0 Comments. 378 words.

I have heard people refer to the market being “overbought” or “oversold” for as long as I have been a student of the markets. In reality only one of those terms makes any sense at all and that term is oversold. There is one case for this, and that is when the market is trading at zero. Undeniably that would be an oversold market! Unfortunately, for those who wish to use the term “overbought”, it is important to note that the market has unlimited upside potential. So this case can never really occur. That should show you why there is no way a market can be truly overbought. A lot of types of investing programs try to tell you the opposite.

To give people credit, I know what they are talking about when they use these terms, they are just thinking relatively. In this manner, “overbought” translates to the market is high (higher than it was before). “Oversold” would translate to mean it is lower than it was before. That is the reasoning why I find the need to insist that I and others why agree to start using a more appropriate termonology. This is really quite exciting. New ideas have that exciting effect on me. From now on I will advocate the use of the words almost to the opposite of the current lexicon being “underbought” and “undersold”. They get tossed around a fair bit places like eminiforecaster.

So what is this “Underbought”? Quite simply, it is when the market has not raised enough to be where it will be in the future. Alternatively “undersold” means that the market has not gone down as much as it will in the future. So these important key terms carry a whole different kind of meaning to their (rather meaningless) counterparts “overbought” and “oversold”.

My goal is to move people away from looking back at the past to display where markets will go in the future. Let’s get over it and move on. In my experience the best traders are the ones that look at the value of a company now, and where it will be in the future as opposed to lamenting the past. They look for where the trend of the market is heading. They are anticipatory investors.

Decisionbar Aids Me Pick Winning Stocks

By topstock at 2008-11-16T17:35:13Z in Uncategorized, with these tags: charting, finance, investing, money, software, stock, 0 Comments. 365 words.

Every market investor at one time or another tries to find what brand of stock software is the right one for you. It is a very important decision for a few reasons. There are a lot of different options available, from eSignal to decisionbar. Some can be a great help to your trading, some are crap and do more harm than good. Every type of stock software charges a fee, but only some of them “cost” you money. Choosing a type of stock software that works for you is often a deciding factor between success and failure in the stock market.

Anyway I’m really here to talk about one stock program in particular, decisonbar. My favorite method of trading is unquestionably DecisionBar, and I use it all the time. Decision Bar was created by a real trader Les Schwartz who many of the the so called guru’s call on for help. Les has developed what I believe is the most sophisticated (and easy to use) trading software ever made available to the public. Even if you are a beginner, it will take you only a couple of hours to master it.

You can learn the system in minutes, and the methodology is a snap. The day you get the package in the mail you can crack it open, toss the disk into the computer, and be trading in minutes. Best of all you can get a 30 day risk free trial. Postage of course is not refundable. DecisionBar is applicable for everything from options to commodities. Just like I said earlier, Decisionbar can be used for any unit of time, or even for options investors.

If you want to trade intraday then you need a data feed after the trial period. I highly recommend that you use a live data feed even if you are not a day trader. Several live sources are given that also have a free trial to go along with the system. DecisionBar doesn’t do all the thinking for you, you do need to still use your brain. This is not a black box. Your decision to take a trade or not trade is made easy once you understand the system.

Spectra Energy Corp

By topstock at 2008-11-15T15:16:10Z in General, with these tags: market, money, stock, 0 Comments. 253 words.

Spectra Energy Corp. is a 79 year old company who is engaged in natural gas pipeline processing and distribution.  Started in 1929, Spectra evolved into one of North America’s leader in the natural gas production industry.  Backed by years of good reputation, giving customers excellent service and meeting their needs and expectations, as a new public company, people would not think twice in buying stocks and be a part of this reputable company.   Spectra’s choosing wisely its company acquisitions and business partnerships contributed extensively to its success.  Spectra Energy owns and controls the 18,000-mile transmission pipeline system, which is one of the largest pipeline networks in North America.  Amidst the rising demand for oil and gas, natural disasters and other challenges that Spectra has been confronted with, it remained strong and even registered a 51% increase in profit for the second quarter of this year.  Spectra have been registering a steady increase in net income over the last four quarters.  This will record for strength in the stock market.  Stock brokers would have no problem in selling Spectra stocks and both will definitely earn profit from it.  If prices of the basic necessity would have no change until 2010, it is expected that Spectra would be able to register a growth of a conservative 8 percent.  And with this, shareholders would enjoy bigger profit and earnings.  2008 for Spectra will register as a very good year, with the trends constantly moving positively in their side … Reaching higher sales … to higher profit!

Basics Of The Stock Market

Beginner stock market investing can be very daunting and complicated. But did you know, that of all the avenues of investment, the stock market is easily the oldest? That does not mean, however, you should not know the basics before you put your money into it. Knowing the fundamentals of the stock market can, and will most likely mean success or failure. Thus, if you want to make money in the stock market, you better learn the basics!

To start, let’s discuss what a stock truly is. All that a stock really is, is a claim to a piece of ownership in a company. When a company needs to get capital, it will market off shares of itself to outside investors. When you purchase a share, you buy yourself a right to a share of the profits. That means if the company makes money, you get a piece. If it loses money, your invested money becomes smaller. Anytime you purchase more stock, you increase the amount of your share in that company’s earnings. Be they positive or negative.

Just because you purchase a share or two does not mean you will be consulted for daily businesses activities of the company. But, your share does also count as a vote for who should be consulted. It is the shareholders that select the board of directors, who are responsible for all the company’s activities.

Next, let’s look at the two types of stocks you can purchase. Common stock is the most prevalent and is typically what is traded most of the time. Anytime you hear someone talking about buying ’stock’, they are probably talking about having purchased common stock. Common stock is nothing more than a share of a company, and does not entitle the holder to any further benefits.

The other kind of stock you can purchase is called ‘preferred stock’. Preferred stock is a company share that gives the holder a little more benefit than the common stock. A preferred stockholder usually doesn’t get to vote, but will most likely get a dividend for the life of the company. Where common stock provides a less common dividend, preferred stock will give a consistent income. Also, if the company gets liquidated, the preferred stockholders see their money returned first.

In other words, a preferred stockholder will get their investment returned as a priority over common stockholders, while earning a considerable dividend.

Now, what makes a stock price change? Supply and demand. It’s that simple. When a lot of people want a stock, the demand is high and the supply becomes smaller as the demand is satiated. Thus the price goes up.

When stockholders want to rid themselves of their shares and there isn’t enough buyers to make them happy, they will lower the asking price to try and garner interest. And this is how the prices go down.

I hope you now feel more confident about becaues of this stock market for beginners article, and will continue your learning and eventually use the stock market as a source for wealth building.

Beginner Stock Market Investing 101

When it comes to beginner stock market investing, things can get a bit confusing. You risk your bank account for the whims of destiny, in the form of a pieces of paper. Hoping that this piece of paper will go up in value, and not drop in value.

Which is why we all, at some point in our lives, have to get stock market investing advice. Many people are not strong enough to admit that they need help. Many are too proud. And it can definitely be a humbling experience to have to openly admit that you do in fact need help. But getting help will make you a better investor.

Regardless, everyone must get help sooner or later. Some people will choose to do so under the wire by reading books or watching video tutorials. Others will get help from a close knit group, usually a mastermind group, where they can get hands on direct guidance.

And then there are the craziest, in my opinion. Those that choose to learn how to invest by making their own mistakes and learning all by themselves. This may be the hardest to do and stick with investing, but it will also afford the fastest route to becoming a proficient investor. This method has the highest risk by far, but has the fastest payoff.

So what is the best stock market investing advice? Easy. Learn from your mistakes. Which means you have to make mistakes. Just do it. Plain and simple. Put your money into a company you believe is doing well and learn as you go. Why did the company do well, or do poorly? Modify your investment strategy and do it all over again. Continue this process until you have more wins than losses and then still continue the refinement process.

Be sure that you are using money you can afford to lose. There is no reason you should learn how to invest with your entire nest egg. Start with a measly 100$ if you have to, but start. Over time you will begin to make more than you lose and your confidence will increase and make you more comfortable putting more money out there. This will mark your end of the beginner stock market investing stage.

Maybe my beginner online stock market investing advice will be ignored. But hopefully, you will learn from what I learn and have the guts to do what others cannot.

{The Japanese Candlesticks Argument in Favor of a Perpetual Short Outlook in the S&P 600}

By topstock at 2008-11-09T18:06:08Z in Uncategorized, with these tags: candelaabra, candlestick, candlestick formation, candlestick forum, candlestick pattern, candlesticks, candlesticks formation, candlesticks forum, candlesticks pattern, formation, forum, japanese candlestick, japanese candlesticks, japanese candlesticks forum, pattern, 0 Comments. 563 words.

 

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How speedily time flashes by.  It is now over  a year since the stock markets posted a key long-term High.  It was evidenced by a classically bearish Candlestick formation, and has been followed all the way down during the cascade by a series of quite similar bearish patterns.  The events attending the near-collapse of the total national and world financial system during the past several weeks, leading up to enactment of bailout legislation, impelled many investors to a state of great concern about the worth of, and prospects for, their hard-earned savings.

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It is terribly unfortunate that so many people have worked so hard for so many years to invest something for retirement, now to be faced with a massive diminution of the value of their holdings – and the prospect of worse to come.  What is even more unhappily the case is that they have no comprehension of the defensive steps which they could have undertaken beginning in the Fall and Winter of 2007, and should be taking right now and well into the foreseeable future.

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There is no need to be a “deer in the headlights.”  The Candlestick  patterns which have formed during the past several weeks continue to indicate the gravity of this bear market, and the need to institute counter-measures so as to defend the value of one’s holdings.

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There is “insurance” available to accomplish that result.  It  is in the form of Inverse Stock Index Funds and Inverse Stock Index Exchange-Traded Funds.  There is a multitude of them available on the market, offered by respected and stable firms.  The goal of such funds is to increase in value when the particular Index to which they are tied decreases in value.  Many of them  operate on an unleverged basis – as an example, a particular Exchange-Traded Fund might be structured to increase by one dollar in value for every dollar by which the NASDAQ 100 decreases in value.  Some of these funds are leveraged, say on a two-for-one basis.

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I believe that the country is ensnared in a long-running bear market which is just now gearing up for a devastating depression  I favor the idea that every investor should create and maintain a “Perpetual Short” position, using either an Inverse Stock Mutual Fund or an Inverse Exchange-Traded Fund as the means by which to accomplish that end; and that he or she should be depositing funds into that “insurance plan” consistently, on a regular basis.  It is even possible, this way, to completely offset the possibility of loss in a portfolio.  surely, any degree of offset would be a welcome development.  Addtionally, it is possible to make an absolute profit, as well.

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Stock and Index prices move in waves, which are clearly visible on price charts.  While a ”Constant Short” regime can be of extreme value in protecting the worth of an investor’s portfolio, skillful use of Candlestick technical analysis can also be very useful in identifying countertrends which can be harvested for profit in upward countertrend corrections.  Various methods of technical analysis are a great help in identifying the probable end of a countertrend rally and in pointing to a special opportunity to “pounce on the bounce” for additional profit to the downside.

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 http://www.candlewave.com

 

 

 

 

 

Every stock has a niche

By topstock at 2008-11-08T17:12:21Z in Uncategorized, with these tags: overseas stock markets, overseas stocks, stock, stock information, stock market, stock news, 0 Comments. 326 words.

The overall market is broken up into groups of stocks. Every sector has information that you can access by read free stock ticker. There are overseas stock markets and domestic. Any group of stocks that does roughly the same thing is called a sector. A sector is composed of a group of stocks that are in the same industry, or have roughly the same function.

For example if there is the metals sector of the stock market. The metals sector is composed of any company that has to do with buying or selling metals, mining metallic , or processing and refining metals. Learn how to read the stock market news of each sector.

So the metals sector of the stock market would be composed of steel producers, steel mills, gold Miners, platinum , copper and so on.

Sectors within can be further broken down into smaller more specialized groups, for example in the metals sector, there are industrial metals and precious metals. Precious metals would be stocks that have anything to do with gold, silver and platinum. Industrial metals are stocks that have to do with copper, steel, iron, aluminum and so forth. Many of these stocks trade on overseas stock markets.

The same thing is true of all stock market sectors. Let us use another example that everyone can understand. The original sector is a very large group of stocks that have a vaguely similar functions. Like the transportation sector or the health care,or energy, or drilling or even pharmaceuticals . Then that large sector can be broken down into the smaller more specialized sectors. The transportation stock sector can be broken down into airlines , railroads, trucking stocks and even shipping .

These smaller stocks can then be further broken down into some highly specialized stock market sectors, such as domestic or overseas, or by seasonality aspects however most people generally focus on the large sectors of the market, and then their individual niches. 

Stock quotes are the basic stock info to know to trade

By topstock at 2008-11-06T20:03:10Z in Uncategorized, with these tags: overseas stock markets, overseas stocks, stock, stock information, stock market, stock news, 0 Comments. 309 words.

 

Stock quotes refer to the price of anything that sells on a particular stock exchange. The quote can be for a mutual fund, a stock, an option, or an ETF. This part of how to read stock market information.

It is important to remember that the quote is simply the price that you can buy or sell a particular instrument on the stock exchanges. 

All stock market quotes have a bid and ask, the bid is what you can sell your stock or option, or ETF for. The ask is what you have to buy any of the above mentioned Financial Instruments for. The same thing is true of almost all Financial Instruments.

So if the bid of a particular stock is 15 and ask of the particular stock is 16, this means that if you own the stock you could probably get it sold for $15.00 per share. If you wanted to buy the stock that means you have to pay $16.00 per share

There are two main types of quotes, there are real time quotes, which reflect the price of the underlying stock or ETF instantly. These quotes are accessed when you read free stock ticker quotes. There are also delayed quotes, that are delayed by roughly 15 minutes or so. Which means that quote shows the actual price of a stock on the stock market exchange 15 minutes ago. This is true even for overseas stock market headlines stocks.

Most people prefer to deal with real time s, as they are more accurate. There are several sources online way you can get real time quotes, for free. The stock broker generally provides real time information for you as long as you maintain an account with them. There are also some free online stock market services that give free real-time or just slightly delayed quotes. 

 

The right stock broker makes a difference

By topstock at 2008-11-06T20:03:09Z in Uncategorized, with these tags: overseas stock markets, overseas stocks, stock, stock information, stock market, stock news, 0 Comments. 306 words.

Stock market brokers are the people who buy and sell stocks for investors. As an investor it is very difficult for you to TRADE a share or any amount of stock on your own. To trade stocks, you must go through a broker. Brokers have actual licenses that allow them to buy and sell shares of stock. They also have much quicker access to the stock market exchanges than you or I do. They know how to read the stock market quotes quickly.

How it works is this, let us say you want to buy five hundred shares of IBM’s stock. However you personally cannot buy IBM shares of stock, we just cannot purchase stock, the same way we buy groceries at store. We read a free stock ticker to get the latest quote.

To purchase our shares of IBM stock, We sign up with a discount online broker. The discount online broker would then purchase or buy stocks of on our behalf. When we’re ready, we would then call the broker or go online on a computer and sell the stocks. The process of buying and selling stocks is called trading. Many of these stocks trade on how investors read overseas stock markets news.

For the brokers service, they take a small percentage of every transaction that you do in the stock market. So when you buy a stock, the broker earns a commission. When you sell a stock, the broker also takes a commission on the sale.

There are different types of brokers, but the best broker especially for the beginner or intermediate or even advanced investor, is the online discount broker. Many online discount brokers allow you to trade stocks very cheaply in the stock market. This reduces the overall cost of trading and increases your net profits when you actually sell the stock. 

Making money in the stock market is no mystery

By topstock at 2008-11-03T11:02:02Z in Uncategorized, with these tags: bull market, buy stocks, sells stock, stock, stock broker, stock market, stocks, time to buy stock, 0 Comments. 362 words.

To make money in the stock market you must be able to identify trends and patterns within individual stocks and within the overall stock market.   How to read the stock market is the crucial skill in the development of a successful stock trader. Trading stocks is very much about capitalizing on timing.  The successful investor knows when to buy and when to sell.  But more importantly a good investor really knows what signals to look for that tells him or her the the time to buy stock and what signals to look for that tells him or her the time to sell to sell. .

Whenever you look at an individual stock it is a good idea to do some research as to the underlying fundamentals of the stock.  Has the company reported a jump in earnings or has the company reported a loss.  After you have good idea on the fundamentals of the stock, then you can start looking at whenever trend the stock is displaying.  Stocks are usually trending upwards trending downwards or are trending sideways.  Most traders like to go after a stock when there is a strong trend up.  When a stock is trending up then you should shift most of your investment strategies to  going long on the stock.  Which is you buy the stock now with the intention to sell the stock later on at higher price.

Stock trading requires signals on both when to buy and when to cut your losses.  Plenty of traders have made some good money in the stock market, only to have lost it again because they did not read the stock market correctly and they lost most of their profits.  Even if the traders did not lose all of their profits, they lost more than they should have.  So focus on developing your timing signal awareness skills.  Because this is the meat and potatoes of stock trading.  Good traders know what signals that give them the correct time to buy, at the same time they know the signals that tell them the correct time  to sell to avoid a loss, or just lock in their profits.

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